Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev
Rome | Clay | Quarterfinals
14 May 2025, 22:55
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lorenzo … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 19/23 = 82,6%
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 18/25 = 72,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,6000
log_rank_ratio -0,5108
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -1000,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,9187
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,2288
surface_matches_ratio 0,9444
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 77,1118
surface_wr_p2 74,1931
surface_wr_p1_stable 70,9091
surface_wr_p2_stable 74,1379
p1_surface_matches 51,0000
p2_surface_matches 54,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4510
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,8910
first_serve_won_diff -3,2100
second_serve_won_diff -8,8300
bp_saved_diff -4,1100
bp_converted_diff 3,3400
aces_per_match_diff -3,3185
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,5098
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1017
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8095
serve_consistency_p1 8,2242
serve_consistency_p2 8,9997
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,4909
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2731
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2399
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0300
utr_p1 0,9141
utr_p2 0,9106
utr_advantage 0,1904
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 4309
API ID 13838197
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rome
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 4309,
    "api_id": 13838197,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "player2": "Alexander Zverev",
    "tournament": "Rome",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-05-14T18:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.77,
      "utr_ranking": 9,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 82.6086956521739,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.918697793960149,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.228840125391855,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9444444444444444,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 77.11180124223601,
    "surface_wr_p2": 74.19310344827586,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.9090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 74.13793103448276,
    "p1_surface_matches": 51,
    "p2_surface_matches": 54,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.45098039215686275,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -10.890984364960374,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.210000000000008,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.829999999999998,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.109999999999999,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.3400000000000034,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.3184921824801883,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5098039215686274,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1017369727047146,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8095238095238095,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.22418423180186,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.999711386717568,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.4909456211841141,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2731180124223601,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.23993103448275865,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.02999999999999936,
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    "utr_advantage": 0.19041574103458814,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
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    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
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    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
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}