Elias Ymer vs Marko Topo
Hamburg | Clay | Qualification Final
18 May 2025, 14:00
18 May 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elias … | Marko … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elias Ymer
Ranking
#175
UTR Rating
14,20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#284
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
15/33 = 45,5%
Marko Topo
Ranking
#239
UTR Rating
14,52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#167
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Clay
21/32 = 65,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3657 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3117 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 103,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 131,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,5809 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,8125 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,3566 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,9375 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,8125 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,3065 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,7500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,0300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8048 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -42,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -28,6429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,4801 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,4796 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1304 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1734 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -17,5809 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7671 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2284 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4379
API ID
13911346
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hamburg
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4379,
"api_id": 13911346,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elias Ymer",
"player2": "Marko Topo",
"tournament": "Hamburg",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-05-18T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 175,
"utr_singles": 14.2,
"utr_ranking": 284,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 239,
"utr_singles": 14.52,
"utr_ranking": 167,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.625,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.2,
"ranking": 284,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.52,
"ranking": 167,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 64,
"rank_ratio": 1.3657142857142857,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.31167757800799656,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 103,
"best_rank_diff": 131,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.58085664335664,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.8125,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7666666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.35664335664336,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.9375,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.8125,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13043478260869565,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.30653629703631,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.750000000000014,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.739999999999995,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.100000000000001,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.030000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.8047681485181486,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"momentum_diff": -42.85714285714285,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -28.64285714285714,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.18181818181818182,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.4800514800514823,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.4795588179071935,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13043356643356646,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17337500000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -17.58085664335664,
"utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.7670588235294117,
"utr_advantage": -2.2284122562674114,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}