Colton Smith vs Stefano Napolitano
Roland Garros | Clay | Qualification Round 1
19 May 2025, 15:10
19 May 2025, 15:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Colton … | Stefano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Colton Smith
Ranking
#148
UTR Rating
14,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#175
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
78% (9p)
WR Clay
4/6 = 66,7%
Stefano Napolitano
Ranking
#450
UTR Rating
14,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#236
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Clay
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 302,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,0405 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1120 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 323,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,2063 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,5647 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,9423 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,5900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -20,4600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 51,7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 44,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3636 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7331 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,0941 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1353 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2520 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 21,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7400 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5583 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4446
API ID
13914529
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4446,
"api_id": 13914529,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Colton Smith",
"player2": "Stefano Napolitano",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-05-19T11:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 148,
"utr_singles": 14.37,
"utr_ranking": 175,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 450,
"utr_singles": 14.29,
"utr_ranking": 236,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.37,
"ranking": 175,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.29,
"ranking": 236,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.0405405405405403,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1120353090002504,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 323,
"best_rank_diff": -12,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.666666666666657,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.206313725490194,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.56470588235294,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.942333333333316,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.589999999999989,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3800000000000026,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.1999999999999886,
"bp_converted_diff": -20.46,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.46666666666666634,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 51.7,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 44,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.105427357601002e-15,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.733082706766918,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.09409836167208,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.13533333333333353,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.25200000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 21.666666666666657,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.7494117647058822,
"utr_p2": 0.7399999999999999,
"utr_advantage": 0.5582693649685979,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}