Alex Michelsen vs Sumit Nagal
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
06 Ene 2025, 10:05
06 Ene 2025, 10:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Sumit … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
17/34 = 50,0%
Sumit Nagal
Ranking
#281
UTR Rating
14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#191
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 243,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,3947 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,0008 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1156,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 38,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,6998 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,6227 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2895 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,4087 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,1967 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,2368 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2937 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,9289 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4197 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -41,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0521 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7852 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3372 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23,4086 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2005 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1685 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 35,0995 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7565 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,6701 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
446
API ID
13300695
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Sumit Nagal",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-01-06T06:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.43,
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"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
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"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 38,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.699828473413376,
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"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.40869982847341,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.196693572797898,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.236810614468773,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.293739784078305,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.9288598526889302,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.419654928866915,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"momentum_diff": -60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -41.3,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0520833333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.785182760692517,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.337152209492633,
"surface_rank_synergy": 23.40864837741303,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2005471698113208,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16845454545454547,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 35.09948542024013,
"utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
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"utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
"utr_advantage": 4.670050761421317,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
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"utr_diff": "0.0839",
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"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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}