Darya Astakhova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Roland Garros | Clay | Qualification Round 1
20 May 2025, 12:30
20 May 2025, 12:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Darya … | Leyre … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darya Astakhova
Ranking
#431
UTR Rating
11.50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#246
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Clay
1/4 = 25.0%
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
11.70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#180
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
18/38 = 47.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -292.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.3225 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.1316 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -393.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -58.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23.3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14.9672 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1053 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12.5610 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9.1300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -14.3200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.1900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.5200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.8500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40.8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30.0047 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 132.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.9195 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.7316 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26.4048 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0420 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3087 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4353 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.7241 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4613
API ID
13914670
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 13914670,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Darya Astakhova",
"player2": "Leyre Romero Gormaz",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-05-20T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 246,
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"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 180,
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"wr_surface": 47.368421052631575,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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"utr": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
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"best_rank_diff": -58,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.33333333333333,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.10526315789473684,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 48.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.5,
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"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.560999999999993,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.129999999999995,
"second_serve_won_diff": -14.32,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.189999999999998,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.520000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.85,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.3,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"momentum_diff": 40.85714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.004714285714286,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 132,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6615384615384615,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.919540229885051,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.731619964791392,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.40479699603797,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04200000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30866666666666676,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.1999999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.4117647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.4352941176470587,
"utr_advantage": -1.7241379310344769,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}