Matteo Arnaldi vs Fábián Marozsán
Geneva | Clay | Round of 16
21 May 2025, 12:35
21 May 2025, 12:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Fábián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
17/32 = 53.1%
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#51
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
14/28 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8361 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1790 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -142.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.0567 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.6852 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53.4818 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53.5385 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52.7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.2424 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.7500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.9900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.9337 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9.4850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.4819 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9903 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.1569 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.0334 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0101 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0448 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0254 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4643
API ID
13893123
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Geneva
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"tournament": "Geneva",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-05-21T12:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"player_stats": {
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"best_rank_diff": 6,
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"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0625,
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"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.2424224021592423,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.499999999999993,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.749999999999993,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.989999999999995,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9337112010796216,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.485,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4818652849740932,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 6.156867716263855,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.0333510404008943,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.010148482754194676,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.044817813765182124,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02538461538461534,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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}