Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya
Strasbourg | Clay | Round of 16
21 May 2025, 19:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 5/9 = 55,6%
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 5,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,7047
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3942,0000
best_rank_diff 8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,8889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,3444
surface_matches_ratio 0,9167
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8889
surface_wr_p2 45,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,3499
first_serve_won_diff -0,0400
second_serve_won_diff -1,7300
bp_saved_diff -2,7600
bp_converted_diff 6,8700
aces_per_match_diff 0,4444
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,4450
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0345
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8750
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 8,9197
serve_consistency_p2 7,7624
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,1533
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0119
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0230
elite_surface_amplifier 17,7778
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,5224
utr_advantage 2,4613
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 4649
API ID 13896337
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Strasbourg
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 4649,
    "api_id": 13896337,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Anna Kalinskaya",
    "tournament": "Strasbourg",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-05-21T15:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.75,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.44,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "rank_ratio": 5.5,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 3942,
    "best_rank_diff": 8,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.344444444444446,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9166666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.34988888888889136,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.03999999999999204,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7299999999999898,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.760000000000005,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.869999999999997,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.4444444444444444,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_diff": -10.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.4450000000000074,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0344827586206897,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.875,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.919682652795094,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.762420165740842,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.153316375452663,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.011888888888888838,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.022999999999999965,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 17.77777777777777,
    "utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
    "utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5223529411764706,
    "utr_advantage": 2.461294164350937,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}