Federico Arnaboldi vs Maximilian Marterer
Roland Garros | Clay | Qualification Final
23 May 2025, 09:00
23 May 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Federico … | Maximilian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Federico Arnaboldi
Ranking
#390
UTR Rating
13.82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#472
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
36/67 = 53.7%
Maximilian Marterer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
14.18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#289
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51.9%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Federico Arnaboldi
Sin datos UTR v4
Maximilian Marterer
Record 2025
4W - 6L (40%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
14.3
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 110.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2821 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2485 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 126.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 317.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.0131 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.8128 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.4815 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43.9869 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.5211 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.6129 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 67.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0746 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.9217 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8.8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7.4700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12.6300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.0784 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 77.7778 | |
| momentum_p2 | 77.7778 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3.8889 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.5106 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4167 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.9040 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6027 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3.2333 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1701 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1800 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7271 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.5714 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4715
API ID
13929465
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4715,
"api_id": 13929465,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Federico Arnaboldi",
"player2": "Maximilian Marterer",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-05-23T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 390,
"utr_singles": 13.82,
"utr_ranking": 472,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.73134328358209,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 67,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 14.18,
"utr_ranking": 289,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 4,
"utr_v4_losses": 6,
"utr_v4_wr": 40.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.27,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.05,
"opponent_name": "Christoph Negritu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.56,
"opponent_name": "Kyrian Jacquet"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.5,
"opponent_name": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.84,
"opponent_name": "Adam Walton"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.82,
"opponent_name": "Federico Arnaboldi"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:44.806546+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.82,
"ranking": 472,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 289,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.2820512820512822,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.24846135929849972,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 126,
"best_rank_diff": 317,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.013133208255162,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.8128123580190816,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4814814814814814,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.98686679174484,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.52112676056338,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"p1_surface_matches": 67,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07462686567164178,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.921718403547679,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.250000000000014,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.79999999999999,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.469999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.630000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.07835920177383615,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_p2": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.888888888888914,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5106382978723405,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4166666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.903989365943073,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.602689994630071,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.2332607656555243,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1701313320825516,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17999999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.35999999999999943,
"utr_p1": 0.6847058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7270588235294118,
"utr_advantage": -2.571428571428567,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}