Hubert Hurkacz vs Novak Djokovic
Geneva | Clay | Final
24 May 2025, 13:00
24 May 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hubert … | Novak … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hubert Hurkacz
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
15.88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#23
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
21/29 = 72.4%
Novak Djokovic
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
16.32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
25/31 = 80.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -69.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0548 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2.9042 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -4055.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9.8844 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.3218 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9355 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67.8788 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77.7632 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69.6970 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 77.1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4483 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.5227 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8.7200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.1300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.5100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.2443 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1420 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2240 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6111 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.0614 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.1450 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28.7058 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2478 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2086 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.7329 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4760
API ID
13893131
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Geneva
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4760,
"api_id": 13893131,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hubert Hurkacz",
"player2": "Novak Djokovic",
"tournament": "Geneva",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-05-24T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 15.88,
"utr_ranking": 23,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 80.64516129032258,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.88,
"ranking": 23,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.0547945205479452,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.9041650800285006,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -4055,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.88437001594896,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.321789321789327,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9354838709677419,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.87878787878788,
"surface_wr_p2": 77.76315789473684,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6969696969697,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 77.14285714285715,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.52267623604466,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2999999999999972,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.720000000000006,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.130000000000003,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.5100000000000051,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.244338118022329,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1420454545454546,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.224025974025974,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6111111111111112,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.061350230287995,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.1450468071437,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.705842238399722,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24778787878787867,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2086315789473684,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4399999999999995,
"utr_p1": 0.9270588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -2.732919254658382,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}