Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 128
25 May 2025, 17:45
25 May 2025, 17:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
2/7 = 28,6%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#134
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
31/46 = 67,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2895 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8283 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 650,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -37,6574 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -27,0833 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1724 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 29,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,8882 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,8333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 116,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,3741 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,9500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,7300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,4900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8570 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -90,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -61,3050 | |
| current_streak_diff | -7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3614 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1256 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8022 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -31,1925 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2567 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2179 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -37,6574 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7847 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0211 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4777
API ID
13934922
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4777,
"api_id": 13934922,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-05-25T13:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
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"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
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"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 14.67,
"utr_ranking": 134,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 87,
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.8283219589281978,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 650,
"best_rank_diff": 41,
"surface_wr_diff": -37.65742952699475,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -27.083333333333332,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1724137931034483,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_p2": 66.88819875776397,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
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"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 116,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.374094601051134,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.750000000000014,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.950000000000003,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.730000000000018,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.489999999999995,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.857047300525561,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -90.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -61.30500000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -7,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3614457831325301,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.065217391304348,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.125640127330584,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.802235868063652,
"surface_rank_synergy": -31.192475794000845,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25669230769230766,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21788198757763966,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -37.65742952699475,
"utr_diff": 0.4499999999999993,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.7847058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 3.0211480362537717,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}