Mattia Bellucci vs Jack Draper
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 128
27 May 2025, 18:50
27 May 2025, 18:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Jack … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
3/10 = 30,0%
Jack Draper
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
12/16 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1447 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,9328 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2232,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -59,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,8170 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6071 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,2616 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,7200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,5100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,7600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,2700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4743 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -56,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -53,7850 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1932 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4384 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5161 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7430 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43,6269 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0107 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,5041 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4869
API ID
13930032
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4869,
"api_id": 13930032,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Jack Draper",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-05-27T14:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.9,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -2232,
"best_rank_diff": -59,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.57142857142857,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6071428571428571,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.261571428571436,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.719999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.509999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.7600000000000051,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.269999999999996,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4742857142857142,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -55.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -53.78500000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1931818181818181,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4383561643835616,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.516109538411611,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.742987413811921,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.62691638044253,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.010714285714285732,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08500000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.1500000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_advantage": -7.504078303425778,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}