Matteo Arnaldi vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 128
27 May 2025, 19:05
27 May 2025, 19:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Felix … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
7/13 = 53,8%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
3/8 = 37,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1231 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,0949 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3132,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,8318 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,6817 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9697 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,4818 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,4595 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,2868 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,3600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,2084 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,0030 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,4819 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9940 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1603 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4129 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -14,3122 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0918 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0905 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9341 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,6774 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
4870
API ID
13930027
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 4870,
"api_id": 13930027,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-05-27T15:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.94,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 5,
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -2.094945728215801,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -3132,
"best_rank_diff": -25,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.831781376518215,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.681681681681681,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9696969696969697,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.481781376518214,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.65,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.77777777777778,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.45945945945946,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0625,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.286834008097159,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.179999999999993,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.599999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.5400000000000063,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.359999999999992,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2084170040485827,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.003,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4818652849740932,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9939759036144579,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.160348951674777,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.412887821242515,
"surface_rank_synergy": -14.3122112108411,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09181781376518217,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09050000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.879999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.8305882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.9341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -5.677419354838703,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}
}