Fábián Marozsán vs Carlos Alcaraz
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 64
28 May 2025, 15:50
28 May 2025, 15:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fábián … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#47
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
9/15 = 60,0%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
22/23 = 95,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0213 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,8501 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10985,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -37,7038 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -34,2361 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6364 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 91,2422 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 85,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,0298 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -9,2400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,3100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,2300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,4161 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,9150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9903 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1761 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,8149 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,7808 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 145,1651 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0814 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3664 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
4884
API ID
13919865
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 4884,
"api_id": 13919865,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-05-28T11:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -3.8501476017100584,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -10985,
"best_rank_diff": -35,
"surface_wr_diff": -37.703774486383175,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -34.2361111111111,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
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"surface_wr_p2": 91.24223602484471,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.41666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.0297719382067143,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.1799999999999926,
"second_serve_won_diff": -9.239999999999988,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.309999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.229999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.41611403089663934,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -37.99999999999997,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.914999999999992,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9902912621359223,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1761252446183954,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.814905697722421,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.780844570642756,
"surface_rank_synergy": 145.16509691416508,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08138461538461539,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3664223602484471,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}