Aryna Sabalenka vs Olga Danilovic
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 32
30 May 2025, 10:00
30 May 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Olga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
29/34 = 85.3%
Olga Danilovic
Ranking
#67
UTR Rating
12.28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#44
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
26/37 = 70.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 66.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 67.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 4.2047 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 9913.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 31.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24.4706 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13.2863 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9189 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 86.4706 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.5789 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68.2927 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.7059 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5.8108 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.6800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4.3300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11.5700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.3359 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3.8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2770 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8670 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.1879 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6043 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 102.8913 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2987 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1860 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 73.4118 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5035 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.4653 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4956
API ID
13938741
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 4956,
"api_id": 13938741,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Olga Danilovic",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-05-30T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
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"wr_surface": 85.29411764705883,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.28,
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"wr_surface": 70.27027027027027,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 9913,
"best_rank_diff": 31,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.47058823529413,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.286264441591783,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.918918918918919,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 86.47058823529412,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.999999999999986,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.29268292682927,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.810764705882349,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.680000000000007,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.329999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.570000000000007,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.299999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.335882352941177,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.799999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8669950738916257,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.187892574261024,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.604296684286163,
"surface_rank_synergy": 102.89130174509663,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29870588235294115,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18599999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 73.41176470588239,
"utr_diff": 0.6900000000000013,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_advantage": 5.4653465346534755,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}