Damir Džumhur vs Carlos Alcaraz
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 32
30 May 2025, 22:15
30 May 2025, 22:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Damir … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
19/33 = 57,6%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
22/23 = 95,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -65,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0152 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -4,1897 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -11213,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -29,3392 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22,5134 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3182 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,9030 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 91,2422 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9032 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 85,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2759 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,4583 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -8,5800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,5900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,9600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7457 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -38,0540 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1633 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1761 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9905 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2875 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 122,9211 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1840 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3474 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
4961
API ID
13919858
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 4961,
"api_id": 13919858,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-05-30T18:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
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"best_rank_diff": -22,
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"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.27586206896551724,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.458333709768489,
"first_serve_won_diff": -8.579999999999998,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.589999999999989,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.960000000000001,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.25,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7456668548842464,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -57.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -38.053999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.163265306122449,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1761252446183954,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.990479267371614,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.287454059831821,
"surface_rank_synergy": 122.92114237968856,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.184030303030303,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3474223602484472,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
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"utr_p2": "0.0107",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
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}