Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 32
31 May 2025, 13:00
31 May 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Paula … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#43
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
4/8 = 50,0%
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
3/5 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6047 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5031 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -449,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,6071 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,0134 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,1341 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,8800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,8600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7336 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8194 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8830 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,1675 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0292 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,3303 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0384 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0905 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5484 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4969
API ID
13919083
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4969,
"api_id": 13919083,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Paula Badosa",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-05-31T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 58,
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 58,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -449,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.607142857142861,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1538461538461537,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 60.75,
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"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.134142857142841,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.8799999999999955,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9100000000000037,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.86,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.7999999999999972,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7335714285714285,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.75,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8194444444444444,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8830409356725146,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.167478463203063,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.029200620360717,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.3302843649632665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03842857142857137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09050000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4399999999999995,
"utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -3.54838709677419,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}