Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 32
31 May 2025, 09:00
31 May 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Paula … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
8/15 = 53.3%
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
8/13 = 61.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -12.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6757 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3920 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -342.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8.6071 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.0134 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52.1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52.6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.1341 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7.8800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.9100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12.8600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.7336 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10.6000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8194 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8830 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.1675 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.0292 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.3744 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0334 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0955 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.2258 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4969
API ID
13919083
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Paula Badosa",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-05-31T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
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"combined_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.134142857142841,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.8799999999999955,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9100000000000037,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.86,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.7999999999999972,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7335714285714285,
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"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.599999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8194444444444444,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 10.167478463203063,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.029200620360717,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.374362255500777,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03342857142857136,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09550000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
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"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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