Ella McDonald vs Tereza Martincova
WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles | Grass | Qualification Final
01 Jun 2025, 12:50
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ella … Tereza … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ella McDonald
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11.00 Pro
UTR Ranking #473
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Grass 1/3 = 33.3%
Tereza Martincova
Ranking #464
UTR Rating 11.66 Pro
UTR Ranking #184
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Grass 3/6 = 50.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ella McDonald
Record 2025 27W - 23L (54%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10.8
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Tereza Martincova
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -36.0000
rank_ratio 0.9280
log_rank_ratio -0.0747
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -117.0000
best_rank_diff -460.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -35.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7.6414
surface_matches_ratio 0.5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 15.0000
surface_wr_p2 50.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 23.3571
surface_wr_p2_stable 44.5833
p1_surface_matches 3.0000
p2_surface_matches 6.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3400
p2_confidence 0.3800
combined_confidence 0.3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1.7520
first_serve_won_diff -9.3000
second_serve_won_diff 1.6600
bp_saved_diff -11.1700
bp_converted_diff 5.5500
aces_per_match_diff 1.2000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.5000
last3_wr_diff 0.5000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 57.1429
momentum_diff 42.8571
weighted_momentum_diff 31.5000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 10.0000
serve_consistency_p2 18.1250
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2.6153
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.3140
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0360
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.6600
utr_p1 0.3529
utr_p2 0.4306
utr_advantage -5.8252
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 5041
API ID 13959113
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles
Superficie Grass
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5041,
    "api_id": 13959113,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ella McDonald",
    "player2": "Tereza Martincova",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-06-01T12:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 473,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.82,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.69,
          "opponent_name": "Holly Hutchinson"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.19,
          "opponent_name": "Ana Filipa Santos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.13,
          "opponent_name": "Mariella Thamm"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.78,
          "opponent_name": "Linea Bajraliu"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.1,
          "opponent_name": "Samira De Stefano"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:12.102226+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 464,
      "utr_singles": 11.66,
      "utr_ranking": 184,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 473,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.66,
      "ranking": 184,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -36,
    "rank_ratio": 0.928,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.07472354619593642,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -117,
    "best_rank_diff": -460,
    "surface_wr_diff": -35.0,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.641428571428571,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 15.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 23.357142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.58333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.7520000000000024,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.299999999999997,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6599999999999966,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.169999999999995,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.550000000000004,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.1999999999999997,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_diff": 42.85714285714285,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 31.5,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 18.125000000000004,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.6153241168577748,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.31399999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03600000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.6600000000000001,
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.43058823529411766,
    "utr_advantage": -5.825242718446603,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}