Madison Keys vs Hailey Baptiste
Roland Garros | Clay | Round of 16
02 Jun 2025, 16:45
02 Jun 2025, 16:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Madison … | Hailey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
8/11 = 72,7%
Hailey Baptiste
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/15 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,7778 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,0513 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3132,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 42,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,4636 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,5837 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9643 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,2841 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,8205 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 74,1935 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,3750 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5556 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,4974 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,6200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,9800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,7200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,2100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1467 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0548 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9462 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7778 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1035 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,6893 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 25,5662 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1918 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1892 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 37,3907 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8320 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5094
API ID
13919062
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5094,
"api_id": 13919062,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Madison Keys",
"player2": "Hailey Baptiste",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-02T12:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.5,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 7.777777777777778,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.05127066471314,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 3132,
"best_rank_diff": 42,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.463578088578096,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.583669354838706,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9642857142857143,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 62.82051282051281,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 74.19354838709677,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.4973857808857858,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.6200000000000188,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.979999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.720000000000006,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.210000000000008,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1466928904428904,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 14.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0547945205479452,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.946236559139785,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.103491755147464,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.68931035865213,
"surface_rank_synergy": 25.566172110461714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19184090909090912,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18920512820512803,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 37.39073426573429,
"utr_diff": 0.47000000000000064,
"utr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 3.8320423970648236,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}