Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros | Clay | Quarterfinals
03 Jun 2025, 17:35
03 Jun 2025, 17:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Frances … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
19/23 = 82,6%
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,8000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,9169 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2605,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,6977 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,0909 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7586 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 77,1118 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,4141 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70,9091 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4510 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,5720 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,1700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,3200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,3300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,5700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,4455 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,5098 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,3077 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0063 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0462 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 39,6758 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2421 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0931 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 41,3953 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8126 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5148
API ID
13919037
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Roland Garros
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5148,
"api_id": 13919037,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Frances Tiafoe",
"tournament": "Roland Garros",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-06-03T13:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 82.6086956521739,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 34,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.77,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.18,
"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 29,
"rank_ratio": 6.8,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.916922612182061,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2605,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.6976598280946,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.090909090909093,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7586206896551724,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 77.11180124223601,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.41414141414141,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.9090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 51,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.45098039215686275,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.57196555618296,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.170000000000016,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.32,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.3299999999999983,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.57,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.445482778091473,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5098039215686274,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3076923076923077,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.006336109464135,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.046190873612988,
"surface_rank_synergy": 39.67581214372681,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24211801242236008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09314141414141419,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 41.3953196561892,
"utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 3.8126009693053304,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}