Jessika Ponchet vs Heather Watson
WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles | Grass | Round of 16
04 Jun 2025, 14:00
04 Jun 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessika … | Heather … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessika Ponchet
Ranking
#166
UTR Rating
11,72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#177
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
0/1 = 0,0%
Heather Watson
Ranking
#266
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#205
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 100,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6024 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4715 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 161,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -66,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,1657 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 15,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,3889 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,2017 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,4580 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,5100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,5100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,9500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,1600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,8240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8036 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 23,3062 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8373 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,7151 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4500 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1500 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -10,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9430 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5164
API ID
13956668
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5164,
"api_id": 13956668,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessika Ponchet",
"player2": "Heather Watson",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Birmingham, Great Britain Women Singles",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-04T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
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"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 177,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 266,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 205,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 177,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 205,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.6024096385542168,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4715085204251558,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 161,
"best_rank_diff": -66,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.0,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.1657259259259267,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 15.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.388888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.20166666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.4579999999999913,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.509999999999991,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.509999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.949999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.16,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3750000000000009,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.8240000000000052,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8035714285714286,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 23.30623622152838,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.83733025292594,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.715085204251558,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.44999999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15000000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -10.0,
"utr_diff": 0.11000000000000121,
"utr_p1": 0.4376470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.4247058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 0.9429918559794361,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}