Mariano Navone vs Reilly Opelka
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2025, 02:30
07 Ene 2025, 02:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariano … | Reilly … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
5/17 = 29,4%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8514 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1609 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -113,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22,4832 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22,4090 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6596 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 27,0168 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,9804 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4839 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -30,6264 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,0993 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8764 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -15,4536 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,8471 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -12,1069 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -60,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -62,8700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6602 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0270 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4412 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 16,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,6182 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2188 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0160 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,7356 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
522
API ID
13298143
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 522,
"api_id": 13298143,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mariano Navone",
"player2": "Reilly Opelka",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-01-06T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 29.411764705882355,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.85,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.11,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -11,
"rank_ratio": 0.8513513513513513,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.16093036681263712,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -113,
"best_rank_diff": -12,
"surface_wr_diff": -22.483193277310924,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -22.408963585434172,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6595744680851063,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 27.016806722689076,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.98039215686274,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4838709677419355,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -30.626352941176464,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.099285714285728,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.876428571428562,
"bp_saved_diff": -15.45357142857143,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.8471428571428525,
"aces_per_match_diff": -12.10689075630252,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -60.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -62.870000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6601941747572816,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.027027027027027,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4411764705882353,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 16.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.618228541237064,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21883193277310925,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.016000000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8364705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -1.735647530040052,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}