Pablo Carreño Busta vs Jakub Mensik
Auckland | Hard | Round of 32
07 Ene 2025, 09:30
07 Ene 2025, 09:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Pablo … | Jakub … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#94
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -77,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1809 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,7101 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1689,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,2303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,5952 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,0952 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 80,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2692 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -22,2056 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,3180 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9271 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,4641 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,9069 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -9,4124 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -34,2300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7118 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0930 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5370 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2226 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3938 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2059 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0543 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
529
API ID
13305563
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 529,
"api_id": 13305563,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"player2": "Jakub Mensik",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-01-07T05:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 15.4,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.4,
"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.18085106382978725,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.7100814382137877,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1689,
"best_rank_diff": 6,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.23026315789473983,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.5952380952380949,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.65,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.89473684210526,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.125,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.095238095238095,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 80,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2692307692307692,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -22.2055667293233,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.317960526315787,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.9271052631578982,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.464125939849623,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.906879699248115,
"aces_per_match_diff": -9.412359022556391,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -34.230000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.711764705882353,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.092964824120603,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5370370370370371,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.222636533534138,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3937687522202852,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20594736842105255,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05425000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8705882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8705882352941177,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}