Maria Timofeeva vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
WTA 125K Grado, Italy Women Singles | Clay | Qualification Round 1
08 Jun 2025, 10:50
08 Jun 2025, 10:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Ekaterina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking
#142
UTR Rating
11.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
7/18 = 38.9%
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Ranking
#471
UTR Rating
10.89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#541
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 329.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.3169 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.1990 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 399.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 324.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18.4091 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 18.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40.9091 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 44.4893 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 55.0300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 49.9700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 51.1100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 55.5100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.9917 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20.6500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 69.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.4634 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.5944 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.3272 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 53.9564 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.3790 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1710 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 45.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3400 | |
| utr_advantage | 8.8635 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5321
API ID
13982824
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Grado, Italy Women Singles
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Timofeeva",
"player2": "Ekaterina Ovcharenko",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Grado, Italy Women Singles",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-06-08T10:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_ranking": 129,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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"utr_singles": 10.89,
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"wr_surface": 0,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 324,
"surface_wr_diff": 45.0,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 18.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
"serve_quality_diff": 44.489333333333335,
"first_serve_won_diff": 55.03,
"second_serve_won_diff": 49.97,
"bp_saved_diff": 51.11,
"bp_converted_diff": 55.50999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9916666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.650000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 69,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4634146341463415,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 8.594352714568643,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.327205882352942,
"surface_rank_synergy": 53.95639663868206,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.37899999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.17100000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 45.0,
"utr_diff": 1.0099999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_p2": 0.3400000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 8.863536638876699,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}