Reilly Opelka vs Jesper De Jong
's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | Round of 32
10 Jun 2025, 18:25
10 Jun 2025, 18:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Reilly … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
7/12 = 58,3%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
2/7 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1587 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1473 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 110,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 28,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,3546 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7778 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,3749 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,2670 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,7400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,0100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,0400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,6900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -33,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1685 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4935 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5046 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,8773 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,1742 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1233 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1400 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8200 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9309 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5454
API ID
13988230
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
's-Hertogenbosch
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
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"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-06-10T14:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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},
"gamdom": {
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 9,
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"p2_confidence": 0.42,
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"serve_quality_diff": 7.266999999999996,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.739999999999995,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.0100000000000051,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.0400000000000063,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.690000000000005,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8500000000000014,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -33.300000000000026,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 3,
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"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1685393258426966,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 8.50455496193597,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 4.174200251444325,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1233333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.1399999999999988,
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"utr_advantage": 0.9308510638297792,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
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