Maria Sakkari vs Elise Mertens
's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | Round of 16
12 Jun 2025, 15:00
12 Jun 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
3/7 = 42,9%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
8/10 = 80,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3962 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9258 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -823,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,8571 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,3194 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7059 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,4311 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,1800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,3300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -15,5600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2314 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,9950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7757 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0821 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7522 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,0425 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,8635 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0480 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1566 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2746 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5524
API ID
13974509
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
's-Hertogenbosch
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5524,
"api_id": 13974509,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "'s-Hertogenbosch",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-12T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 80.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 60,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -823,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.85714285714286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.319444444444445,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7058823529411765,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.85714285714286,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.5133333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.4311428571428664,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0799999999999983,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.180000000000007,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.329999999999991,
"bp_converted_diff": -15.560000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.23142857142857087,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.9950000000000045,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7757009345794392,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0820895522388059,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.75218421009883,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.042482803647315,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.863523065113625,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04799999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15657142857142858,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.27999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.49058823529411766,
"utr_p2": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -2.27457351746547,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}