Emily Appleton vs Rebecca Marino
WTA 125K Ilkley, Great Britain Women Singles | Grass | Round of 16
12 Jun 2025, 10:00
12 Jun 2025, 10:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emily … | Rebecca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emily Appleton
Ranking
#377
UTR Rating
10.88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#547
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
25% (8p)
WR Grass
4/8 = 50.0%
Rebecca Marino
Ranking
#178
UTR Rating
11.62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
3/6 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -199.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4721 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.7505 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -228.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -309.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 40.6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.0480 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 18.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46.3818 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49.0462 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 8.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4067 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.2303 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.2100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6.6600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.5500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -19.2200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6.3700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.8339 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.7299 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -30.5188 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2857 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5190 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4259 | |
| utr_advantage | -6.5778 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5531
API ID
13974558
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Ilkley, Great Britain Women Singles
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5531,
"api_id": 13974558,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emily Appleton",
"player2": "Rebecca Marino",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Ilkley, Great Britain Women Singles",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-12T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
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"utr_singles": 10.88,
"utr_ranking": 547,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 178,
"utr_singles": 11.62,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 547,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.47214854111405835,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7504616371559256,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -228,
"best_rank_diff": -309,
"surface_wr_diff": 40.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.0479720279720262,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 18.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.38181818181818,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.04615384615384,
"p1_surface_matches": 8,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.2303333333333342,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.210000000000022,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.659999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.5499999999999972,
"bp_converted_diff": -19.22,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.3700000000000045,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.833870669315115,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.729928928803341,
"surface_rank_synergy": -30.518773244340966,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2856666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5189999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.7399999999999984,
"utr_p1": 0.3388235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.4258823529411764,
"utr_advantage": -6.577777777777764,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}