Maria Carle vs Louisa Chirico
Valencia, Spain | Clay | Round of 16
11 Jun 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maria … Louisa … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Carle
Ranking #158
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 13/23 = 56,5%
Louisa Chirico
Ranking #178
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #247
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 9/15 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 20,0000
rank_ratio 1,1266
log_rank_ratio 0,1192
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 51,0000
best_rank_diff -13,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -0,2919
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,2389
surface_matches_ratio 2,2414
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,8509
surface_wr_p2 59,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 65,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2308
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,3383
first_serve_won_diff 1,1700
second_serve_won_diff -6,3800
bp_saved_diff 0,1200
bp_converted_diff 2,0700
aces_per_match_diff -1,5047
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,6810
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4615
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 9,1811
serve_consistency_p2 4,4217
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0348
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0685
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1114
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4118
utr_p2 0,4118
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 5533
API ID 13974586
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Valencia, Spain
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5533,
    "api_id": 13974586,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Maria Carle",
    "player2": "Louisa Chirico",
    "tournament": "Valencia, Spain",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-06-11T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 158,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 178,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 247,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 247,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 20,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1265822784810127,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.11918851726511835,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 51,
    "best_rank_diff": -13,
    "surface_wr_diff": -0.2919254658385029,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.238910847606505,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.2413793103448274,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.850931677018636,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "p1_surface_matches": 65,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.338316770186331,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1700000000000017,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.3799999999999955,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.12000000000000455,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.0700000000000003,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5046583850931676,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.680999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.65,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.181128377066534,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.421661931629849,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.03479416342522012,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06850931677018635,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11142857142857143,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.4117647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.4117647058823529,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}