Maria Carle vs Louisa Chirico
Valencia, Spain | Clay | Round of 16
11 Jun 2025, 12:00
11 Jun 2025, 12:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Louisa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Carle
Ranking
#151
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
40/65 = 61.5%
Louisa Chirico
Ranking
#176
UTR Rating
11.54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#228
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
17/29 = 58.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 25.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.1656 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.1532 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 86.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0.2919 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.2389 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2.2414 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.8509 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59.1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57.5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.3383 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.1700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6.3800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.1200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.0700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.5047 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6.6810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.1811 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.4217 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.0447 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0635 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1164 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4165 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5533
API ID
13974586
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Valencia, Spain
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5533,
"api_id": 13974586,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Carle",
"player2": "Louisa Chirico",
"tournament": "Valencia, Spain",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-11T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 151,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 40,
"wr_surface_total": 65,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 176,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 228,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.54,
"ranking": 228,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 25,
"rank_ratio": 1.1655629139072847,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.15320415822322742,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 86,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.2919254658385029,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.238910847606505,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.2413793103448274,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 58.850931677018636,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.338316770186331,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1700000000000017,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.3799999999999955,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.12000000000000455,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.0700000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5046583850931676,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.680999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.65,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.181128377066534,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.421661931629849,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.04472419525771137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06350931677018634,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11642857142857144,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.41647058823529404,
"utr_p2": 0.41647058823529404,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}