Elise Mertens vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
's-Hertogenbosch | Grass | Semifinals
14 Jun 2025, 13:00
14 Jun 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elise … | Ekaterina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
12,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
8/10 = 80,0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
8/11 = 72,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5238 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6466 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1419,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,8019 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,9876 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8947 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,6591 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,9048 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,2174 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,3075 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,8300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,0100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7132 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0821 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9891 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,9618 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,6864 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,5186 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1986 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1866 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5576 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,3025 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5576
API ID
13974514
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
's-Hertogenbosch
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5576,
"api_id": 13974514,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elise Mertens",
"player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"tournament": "'s-Hertogenbosch",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-06-14T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 12.45,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 80.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.45,
"ranking": 27,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.74,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.5238095238095238,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6466271649250525,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1419,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.8019480519480453,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9875776397515537,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8947368421052632,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.85714285714286,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.6590909090909,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.6,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.307493506493486,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.259999999999991,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.8300000000000125,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.289999999999992,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.0100000000000051,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.7132467532467532,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.799999999999983,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0820895522388059,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9891304347826086,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.961795423499412,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.686442096757052,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.5185613952483332,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19857142857142862,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18659090909090903,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.2900000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.5235294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.5576470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -2.302500992457332,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}