Joao Fonseca vs Flavio Cobolli
Halle | Grass | Round of 32
17 Jun 2025, 10:50
17 Jun 2025, 10:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Flavio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15.92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Grass
5/12 = 41.7%
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15.71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
9/16 = 56.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9167 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0870 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -390.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14.5238 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.5875 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59.5238 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4967 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.6644 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.9100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6.6300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.9300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.0500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.3492 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25.9600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0404 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2833 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.3516 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.8342 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.2637 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0480 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0932 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9071 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.3279 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5687
API ID
14010196
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Halle
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5687,
"api_id": 14010196,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joao Fonseca",
"player2": "Flavio Cobolli",
"tournament": "Halle",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-06-17T10:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 15.92,
"utr_ranking": 18,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 22,
"utr_singles": 15.71,
"utr_ranking": 35,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.92,
"ranking": 18,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.71,
"ranking": 35,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -2,
"rank_ratio": 0.9166666666666666,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.08701137698962981,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -390,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.523809523809511,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.587500000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.52380952380951,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.4966666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.66441269841269,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9099999999999966,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.629999999999988,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.930000000000007,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.049999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3492063492063489,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.960000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0404040404040404,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2833333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.351621869085264,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.8341549684505765,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.2637366658017652,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04799999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09323809523809512,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
"utr_p1": 0.9317647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.9070588235294119,
"utr_advantage": 1.3278533038254763,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}