Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex Michelsen
Halle | Grass | Round of 32
17 Jun 2025, 11:20
17 Jun 2025, 11:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francisco … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
15.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
0/5 = 0.0%
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
12/22 = 54.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.8095 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.5931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 760.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 12.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -55.0427 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.5636 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.2273 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.0427 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40.0942 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.8462 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.0486 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.4600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7.7400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.1700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.2517 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3.3890 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5984 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0106 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.3684 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.1834 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -32.6438 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0674 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.9831 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5688
API ID
14010200
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Halle
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 5688,
"api_id": 14010200,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
"player2": "Alex Michelsen",
"tournament": "Halle",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-06-17T11:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 40,
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"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.19,
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"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"best_rank_diff": 12,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.22727272727272727,
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"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.55,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.0485811965812033,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.46000000000000796,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.739999999999995,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1699999999999875,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.5,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2517094017094017,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.389000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5984251968503937,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0106382978723405,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.368400863296373,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.183423696453069,
"surface_rank_synergy": -32.64384931366735,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.517,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06742735042735037,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
"utr_p1": 0.9,
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"utr_advantage": 2.9831387808041563,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}