Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov
Halle | Grass | Round of 32
17 Jun 2025, 16:00
17 Jun 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
4/8 = 50,0%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#51
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6970 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3610 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -140,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 32,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,3810 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,3253 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,2200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,4700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,3100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1208 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,3350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7430 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1794 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1755 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6,9194 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0267 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8565 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2358 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
5712
API ID
14010197
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Halle
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5712,
"api_id": 14010197,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ugo Humbert",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Halle",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-06-17T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 15.28,
"utr_ranking": 51,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 51,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.3610133455373305,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -140,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.16666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.761904761904766,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 32.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.38095238095239,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.5,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.3253333333333188,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.219999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.8099999999999952,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.469999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.310000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.12083333333333357,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.335000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.281767955801105,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7430167597765364,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.17943872279277,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.175456799069861,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.919422456132169,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026666666666666727,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.185,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.19000000000000128,
"utr_p1": 0.8788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8564705882352941,
"utr_advantage": 1.2357723577235855,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}