Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro
Berlin | Grass | Round of 16
18 Jun 2025, 13:30
18 Jun 2025, 13:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Paula … | Emma … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Paula Badosa
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
2/4 = 50,0%
Emma Navarro
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Grass
6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5769 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5500 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -839,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 6,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,2381 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,8174 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5789 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 67,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,2174 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,4559 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,9300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,8800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,6200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,8500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0775 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -4,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,4760 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8837 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8295 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5788 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1591 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,1815 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0753 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1657 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4870 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5732
API ID
13996674
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Berlin
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5732,
"api_id": 13996674,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Paula Badosa",
"player2": "Emma Navarro",
"tournament": "Berlin",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-18T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 12,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -11,
"rank_ratio": 0.5769230769230769,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5500463369192721,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -839,
"best_rank_diff": 6,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.238095238095227,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.817391304347827,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5789473684210527,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2": 67.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2727272727272727,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.54,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.455920634920638,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.93,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.8800000000000026,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.6200000000000045,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.8500000000000085,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.077460317460318,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": -4.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.475999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8837209302325582,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8294573643410853,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.578812319649268,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.15913600581896,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.181473119664194,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07528571428571429,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16566666666666652,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.3099999999999987,
"utr_p1": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_advantage": 2.4869634977938126,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}