Valentin Royer vs Marc Polmans
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Ene 2025, 09:10
07 Ene 2025, 09:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valentin … | Marc … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Marc Polmans
Ranking
#384
UTR Rating
13,93 Pro
UTR Ranking
#417
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
4/8 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 326,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,6207 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8902 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 801,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,9020 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12,5701 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0270 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,0247 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,4545 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 77,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1688 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,3504 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9,2674 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9844 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,2154 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,7428 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1060 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8148 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4872 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,6070 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2357 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3073 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 21,8041 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6976 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,9945 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
574
API ID
13300751
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 574,
"api_id": 13300751,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Valentin Royer",
"player2": "Marc Polmans",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-01-07T05:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 384,
"utr_singles": 13.93,
"utr_ranking": 417,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.93,
"ranking": 417,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 326,
"rank_ratio": 6.620689655172414,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8901995420413076,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 801,
"best_rank_diff": 60,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.902027027027032,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.570145903479244,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.925,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.02702702702703,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.125,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.0246913580247,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.45454545454545,
"p1_surface_matches": 77,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.16883116883116883,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.350384797297302,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.267407094594603,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.98437331081081,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.2154341216216267,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.742798986486484,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.105996621621621,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8148148148148148,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.48717948717948717,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.607006493808452,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23572972972972972,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3072500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 21.804054054054063,
"utr_diff": 1.1600000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.6976470588235294,
"utr_advantage": 7.99448656099242,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}