Alex Michelsen vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Halle | Grass | Round of 16
18 Jun 2025, 18:35
18 Jun 2025, 18:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Stefanos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
5/9 = 55,6%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#35
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
1/3 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9211 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0822 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -105,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,7094 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,5175 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,0427 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49,3773 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,1654 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,3300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,4900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,1300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,3500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9267 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18,0040 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0106 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1789 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8623 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,2380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3741 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0534 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1197 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,1590 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5741
API ID
13993915
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Halle
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5741,
"api_id": 13993915,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"tournament": "Halle",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-18T14:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 30,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.08223809823697212,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -105,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.70940170940171,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.51745933014354,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.142857142857143,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 38.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.37729112992271,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.165418803418795,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.329999999999984,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.490000000000009,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1300000000000097,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.349999999999994,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9267094017094006,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -17.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.00399999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0106382978723405,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1789473684210525,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.862313503434639,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.23802067828483,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.3741494192588077,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05342735042735036,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1196666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -2.158979391560354,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}
}