Alex Michelsen vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Halle | Grass | Round of 16
18 Jun 2025, 14:35
18 Jun 2025, 14:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Stefanos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
12/22 = 54.5%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
15.76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#32
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
3/7 = 42.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8947 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1112 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -100.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16.7094 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.5175 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3.1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.0427 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 38.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53.8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49.3773 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10.1654 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.3300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.4900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.1300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9.3500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.9267 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15.7040 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0106 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1789 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.8623 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.2380 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.8585 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0544 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1207 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9129 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.6834 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5741
API ID
13993915
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Halle
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 13993915,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"tournament": "Halle",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-18T14:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"p2": {
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"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
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"utr": {
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"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.165418803418795,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.329999999999984,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.490000000000009,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1300000000000097,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.349999999999994,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9267094017094006,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -17.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.703999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0106382978723405,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1789473684210525,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.862313503434639,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.23802067828483,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.8585138174400742,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05442735042735036,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1206666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}