Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McDonald
London | Grass | Round of 16
18 Jun 2025, 18:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Holger … Mackenzie … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Holger Rune
Ranking #15
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Grass 5/9 = 55.6%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking #112
UTR Rating 14.86 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Grass 11/21 = 52.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 97.0000
rank_ratio 7.4667
log_rank_ratio 2.0104
rank_tier_advantage 3.0000
points_diff 2031.0000
best_rank_diff 33.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2.6364
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1.6449
surface_matches_ratio 0.4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 53.0000
surface_wr_p2 55.6364
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.9374
surface_wr_p2_stable 52.0000
p1_surface_matches 9.0000
p2_surface_matches 21.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4200
p2_confidence 0.7000
combined_confidence 0.5600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 19.3665
first_serve_won_diff 10.1200
second_serve_won_diff 4.4400
bp_saved_diff 7.6900
bp_converted_diff -2.8500
aces_per_match_diff 6.4873
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 68.0000
momentum_p2 92.0000
momentum_diff -24.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12.7300
current_streak_diff -2.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 7.0000
match_load_diff -6.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.3701
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.1642
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.2500
serve_consistency_p1 8.0505
serve_consistency_p2 7.1479
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -5.3003
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0670
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1534
elite_surface_amplifier -7.9091
UTR
utr_diff 0.0000
utr_p1 0.8071
utr_p2 0.8071
utr_advantage 0.0000
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 5747
API ID 13993952
Gamdom ID -
Torneo London
Superficie Grass
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5747,
    "api_id": 13993952,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Holger Rune",
    "player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
    "tournament": "London",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-06-18T18:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 15,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 97,
    "rank_ratio": 7.466666666666667,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.0104486701928845,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "points_diff": 2031,
    "best_rank_diff": 33,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.636363636363633,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.6449432254759635,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.42857142857142855,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.63636363636363,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.937398616921364,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5599999999999999,
    "serve_quality_diff": 19.36654545454546,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.120000000000005,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.439999999999998,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.6899999999999835,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.8500000000000014,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.487272727272727,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": -24.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.72999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3700787401574803,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.164179104477612,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.050458699952904,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.14792620847255,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -5.300273766872143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06699999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15336363636363626,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -7.909090909090899,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "utr_p1": 0.8070588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0264",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
    "utr_p1": "0.012",
    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
  }
}