Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McDonald
London | Grass | Round of 16
18 Jun 2025, 18:25
18 Jun 2025, 18:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Holger … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Holger Rune
Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
5/9 = 55.6%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
11/21 = 52.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 97.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7.4667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.0104 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2031.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2.6364 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.6449 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.6364 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.9374 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19.3665 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10.1200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4.4400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.6900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.8500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6.4873 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -24.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12.7300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.3701 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1642 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.0505 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.1479 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5.3003 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1534 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7.9091 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8071 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5747
API ID
13993952
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
London
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "London",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-18T18:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
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"gamdom": {
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"player_stats": {
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 33,
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"p2_confidence": 0.7,
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"serve_quality_diff": 19.36654545454546,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.120000000000005,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.439999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.6899999999999835,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.8500000000000014,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.487272727272727,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -24.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.72999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
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"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3700787401574803,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.050458699952904,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.14792620847255,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.300273766872143,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06699999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15336363636363626,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.909090909090899,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
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"utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
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"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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