Alex Michelsen vs Daniil Medvedev
Halle | Grass | Quarterfinals
20 Jun 2025, 13:30
20 Jun 2025, 13:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Daniil … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
5/9 = 55,6%
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
15,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
5/8 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3158 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1527 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1560,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,2073 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,0641 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,0427 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,8634 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,6100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,3500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,8600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,8267 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0106 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1388 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8744 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5664 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,9184 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0764 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1365 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,4617 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5759
API ID
13993908
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Halle
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5759,
"api_id": 13993908,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Daniil Medvedev",
"tournament": "Halle",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-06-20T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 15.81,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 8,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.12,
"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.81,
"ranking": 8,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.3157894736842105,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.1526795099383855,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1560,
"best_rank_diff": -29,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.207264957264961,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.064102564102563,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.04273504273504,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.25,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.863418803418803,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.609999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3500000000000085,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.750000000000014,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.86,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.826709401709401,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0106382978723405,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.138755980861244,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.874407208500576,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.566446995277276,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.918384678689817,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07642735042735038,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13649999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.6900000000000013,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -4.461687681862278,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}