Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Berlin | Grass | Quarterfinals
20 Jun 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aryna … Elena … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Grass 7/9 = 77,8%
Elena Rybakina
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 12,98 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Grass 4/6 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4,0000
rank_ratio 5,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,6094
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 5140,0000
best_rank_diff 2,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,2778
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,7857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 69,1667
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 11,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4545
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4467
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,4667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,9182
first_serve_won_diff -4,7500
second_serve_won_diff 1,4300
bp_saved_diff -16,6000
bp_converted_diff -10,1400
aces_per_match_diff -1,9861
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -3,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1338
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1106
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 10,5892
serve_consistency_p2 4,4513
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4471
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1904
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1957
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,5847
utr_p2 0,5859
utr_advantage -0,0771
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 5779
API ID 13996678
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Berlin
Superficie Grass
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5779,
    "api_id": 13996678,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
    "player2": "Elena Rybakina",
    "tournament": "Berlin",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-06-20T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
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      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 69.16666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 11,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.45454545454545453,
    "p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -5.918222222222198,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.749999999999986,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4300000000000068,
    "bp_saved_diff": -16.6,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9861111111111103,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
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    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -3.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1337579617834395,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.589213025668336,
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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