Carlos Alcaraz vs Roberto Bautista Agut
London | Grass | Semifinals
21 Jun 2025, 15:05
21 Jun 2025, 15:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carlos … | Roberto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Grass
19/21 = 90.5%
Roberto Bautista Agut
Ranking
#92
UTR Rating
15.63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#46
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
12/20 = 60.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 91.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 92.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 4.5218 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 11380.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 32.8535 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17.5389 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 90.8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.9798 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 84.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.8095 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 17.0395 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.9900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.6900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11.4500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 19.9500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 7.3758 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2841 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9784 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11.3900 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.1422 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 148.5567 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3173 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1708 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 98.5606 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.7900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8976 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.9298 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5809
API ID
13993944
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
London
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5809,
"api_id": 13993944,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"player2": "Roberto Bautista Agut",
"tournament": "London",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-06-21T15:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.42,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 90.47619047619048,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 92,
"utr_singles": 15.63,
"utr_ranking": 46,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 46,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 92.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 4.5217885770490405,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 11380,
"best_rank_diff": 8,
"surface_wr_diff": 32.853535353535335,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.538888888888888,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.05,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 90.83333333333331,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.97979797979798,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 84.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.8095238095238095,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 17.03951515151516,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.990000000000009,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6899999999999906,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.450000000000003,
"bp_converted_diff": 19.949999999999992,
"aces_per_match_diff": 7.375757575757576,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.284116331096197,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9784172661870504,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.38997280704164,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.142245575083758,
"surface_rank_synergy": 148.5567408772929,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.31733333333333313,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17079797979797973,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 98.560606060606,
"utr_diff": 0.7900000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.9905882352941179,
"utr_p2": 0.8976470588235295,
"utr_advantage": 4.929797191887681,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}