McCartney Kessler vs Dayana Yastremska
Nottingham | Grass | Final
22 Jun 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente McCartney … Dayana … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
McCartney Kessler
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking #29
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Grass 9/12 = 75.0%
Dayana Yastremska
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12.30 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Grass 11/17 = 64.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -4.0000
rank_ratio 0.8710
log_rank_ratio -0.1382
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -46.0000
best_rank_diff -9.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12.4242
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3.5139
surface_matches_ratio 0.7059
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 78.3333
surface_wr_p2 65.9091
surface_wr_p1_stable 68.7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 61.9048
p1_surface_matches 12.0000
p2_surface_matches 17.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4600
p2_confidence 0.5667
combined_confidence 0.5133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2.3730
first_serve_won_diff 3.7200
second_serve_won_diff -2.1100
bp_saved_diff -2.4300
bp_converted_diff -9.1300
aces_per_match_diff -1.8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 98.0000
momentum_p2 98.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.5778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.7163
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.8750
serve_consistency_p1 7.4797
serve_consistency_p2 7.2097
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1.7164
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.2873
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1551
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.1000
utr_p1 0.5176
utr_p2 0.5059
utr_advantage 0.8097
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 5814
API ID 13994018
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Nottingham
Superficie Grass
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5814,
    "api_id": 13994018,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "McCartney Kessler",
    "player2": "Dayana Yastremska",
    "tournament": "Nottingham",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-06-22T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface": 75.0,
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      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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    "p2": {
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      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
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  },
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5133333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.3730000000000047,
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    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.1099999999999994,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.4299999999999997,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7999999999999998,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
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    "match_load_p1": 6,
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    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5777777777777777,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7163461538461539,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.875,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.479677321831956,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}