McCartney Kessler vs Dayana Yastremska
Nottingham | Grass | Final
22 Jun 2025, 11:00
22 Jun 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | McCartney … | Dayana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
McCartney Kessler
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
9/12 = 75.0%
Dayana Yastremska
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12.30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
11/17 = 64.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8710 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1382 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -46.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12.4242 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3.5139 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7059 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 78.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65.9091 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61.9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.3730 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.7200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.1100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.4300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9.1300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.8000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7163 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.8750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.4797 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.2097 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.7164 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2873 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1551 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5059 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.8097 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
5814
API ID
13994018
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Nottingham
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5814,
"api_id": 13994018,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "McCartney Kessler",
"player2": "Dayana Yastremska",
"tournament": "Nottingham",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-06-22T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 31,
"utr_singles": 12.4,
"utr_ranking": 29,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.3,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.4,
"ranking": 29,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.3,
"ranking": 38,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8709677419354839,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13815033848081718,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -46,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.424242424242422,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.5138888888888884,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7058823529411765,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 78.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.9090909090909,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.5133333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.3730000000000047,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.719999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.1099999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.4299999999999997,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.130000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7999999999999998,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5777777777777777,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7163461538461539,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.875,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.479677321831956,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.209709688308163,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.716413296276819,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.28733333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15509090909090906,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.09999999999999964,
"utr_p1": 0.5176470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.5058823529411766,
"utr_advantage": 0.8097165991902805,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}