Bernard Tomic vs Jesper De Jong
Mallorca | Grass | Qualification Round 1
21 Jun 2025, 17:45
21 Jun 2025, 17:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Bernard … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Bernard Tomic
Ranking
#185
UTR Rating
14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#205
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Grass
3/4 = 75,0%
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Grass
2/7 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -112,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3946 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9299 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -446,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,3791 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5556 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 35,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0505 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,3749 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -18,7980 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,7700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,7100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,8300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,4000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 11,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,3857 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 31,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4935 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5481 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5678 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -16,2732 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1370 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2620 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8165 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,4037 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
5822
API ID
14033213
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Mallorca
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5822,
"api_id": 14033213,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Bernard Tomic",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "Mallorca",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-06-21T13:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 185,
"utr_singles": 14.44,
"utr_ranking": 205,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.44,
"ranking": 205,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.94,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.3945945945945946,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9298963839299337,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -446,
"best_rank_diff": 54,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.379082096800488,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5555555555555556,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.05050505050505,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.374872601012285,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -18.798000000000002,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.77000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.709999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7800000000000011,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.8299999999999983,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.399999999999999,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666671,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 11.333333333333329,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.3856666666666655,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 31,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4935064935064934,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.548138862692701,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.567834647292479,
"surface_rank_synergy": -16.27318671877384,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.262,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5,
"utr_p1": 0.7576470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.8164705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -3.4036759700476518,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}