Ashlyn Krueger vs Maria Timofeeva
Bad Homburg | Grass | Qualification Round 1
21 Jun 2025, 17:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ashlyn … Maria … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ashlyn Krueger
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #97
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Grass 3/8 = 37,5%
Maria Timofeeva
Ranking #138
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #129
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Grass 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 76,0000
rank_ratio 2,2258
log_rank_ratio 0,8001
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 503,0000
best_rank_diff 64,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 43,3929
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,4396
surface_matches_ratio 7,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,3929
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,3684
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,6275
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,1337
first_serve_won_diff 3,5100
second_serve_won_diff 6,0600
bp_saved_diff 33,2600
bp_converted_diff -0,4500
aces_per_match_diff 0,7804
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -4,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,0690
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 12,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4658
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5916
serve_consistency_p2 3,5238
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 34,7195
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1421
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4240
elite_surface_amplifier 43,3929
UTR
utr_diff 0,1200
utr_p1 0,4729
utr_p2 0,4588
utr_advantage 1,0033
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 5828
API ID 14032993
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Bad Homburg
Superficie Grass
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5828,
    "api_id": 14032993,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ashlyn Krueger",
    "player2": "Maria Timofeeva",
    "tournament": "Bad Homburg",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2025-06-21T13:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 97,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 138,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 129,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 97,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 129,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 76,
    "rank_ratio": 2.225806451612903,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8001193001121131,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 503,
    "best_rank_diff": 64,
    "surface_wr_diff": 43.39285714285714,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.4396009631922935,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.5,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.39285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.368421052631575,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.627450980392155,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.133714285714277,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.509999999999998,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.060000000000002,
    "bp_saved_diff": 33.26,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.45000000000000284,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7803571428571427,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "momentum_diff": -3.9999999999999964,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.069000000000003,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4657534246575342,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.591569831542318,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.523840492672942,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 34.71946248700776,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14207142857142868,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.42399999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 43.39285714285714,
    "utr_diff": 0.11999999999999922,
    "utr_p1": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_advantage": 1.0033444816053445,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}