Matteo Arnaldi vs Reilly Opelka
Eastbourne | Grass | Round of 32
23 Jun 2025, 14:00
23 Jun 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Reilly … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#82
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
0/2 = 0,0%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9692 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0313 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -15,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,4531 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3125 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,2153 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,6000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -19,2920 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,9700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,3100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,6700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -23,1800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,2100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8621 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1685 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,8354 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9348 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6668 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3980 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1313 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8306 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,8595 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
5846
API ID
14036681
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Eastbourne
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5846,
"api_id": 14036681,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Reilly Opelka",
"tournament": "Eastbourne",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-06-23T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 82,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.06,
"ranking": 82,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.19,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -2,
"rank_ratio": 0.9692307692307692,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.031252543504104426,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -15,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": -53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.453124999999998,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3125,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 9.999999999999998,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.21527777777778,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.44999999999999996,
"serve_quality_diff": -19.292,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.969999999999985,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.310000000000002,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.670000000000002,
"bp_converted_diff": -23.18,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.300000000000001,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.210000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8620689655172413,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1685393258426966,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.8353651422610335,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.934825357532591,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.6668023202189028,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.398,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1313333333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.8305882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": -0.8595041322313984,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}