Jan Choinski vs Mark Lajal
Wimbledon | Grass | Qualification Round 1
23 Jun 2025, 16:00
23 Jun 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan … | Mark … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#124
UTR Rating
14,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Grass
3/5 = 60,0%
Mark Lajal
Ranking
#153
UTR Rating
14,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#181
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Grass
5/7 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2339 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2102 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 91,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -26,7500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,6954 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 39,9071 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,1579 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2710 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,6200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 21,1300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6825 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -53,3490 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 34,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3342 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,6934 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,6217 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1090 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2165 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7600 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0320 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
5922
API ID
14039639
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5922,
"api_id": 14039639,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jan Choinski",
"player2": "Mark Lajal",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-06-23T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 124,
"utr_singles": 14.61,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 153,
"utr_singles": 14.46,
"utr_ranking": 181,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.61,
"ranking": 147,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.46,
"ranking": 181,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.2338709677419355,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2101563557873986,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 91,
"best_rank_diff": 22,
"surface_wr_diff": -26.75,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.695387989203775,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.75,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.907051282051285,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.1578947368421,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.45999999999999996,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.271000000000001,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.700000000000003,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.6199999999999974,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.5999999999999943,
"bp_converted_diff": 21.130000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6825000000000001,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -57.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -53.349000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 34,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.334231805929917,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.6934174289574666,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.621682517312912,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10900000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21650000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.14999999999999858,
"utr_p1": 0.7776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.7600000000000001,
"utr_advantage": 1.0319917440660378,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}