Ella McDonald vs Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon | Grass | Qualification Round 1
24 Jun 2025, 15:25
24 Jun 2025, 15:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ella … | Darja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ella McDonald
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,09 General
UTR Ranking
#517
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Grass
0/1 = 0,0%
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
2/3 = 66,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ella McDonald
Record 2025
27W - 23L (54%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10,8
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
L
Darja Semenistaja
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -402,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1960 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6296 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -779,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -413,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,3831 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 15,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 23,3571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49,9132 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,6413 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,3500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,6100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,2400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,0600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0167 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7861 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1147 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 51,6053 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0520 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4353 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,3817 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5978
API ID
14042640
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Wimbledon
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5978,
"api_id": 14042640,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ella McDonald",
"player2": "Darja Semenistaja",
"tournament": "Wimbledon",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-06-24T11:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.09,
"utr_ranking": 517,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 54.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.82,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.69,
"opponent_name": "Holly Hutchinson"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.19,
"opponent_name": "Ana Filipa Santos"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.13,
"opponent_name": "Mariella Thamm"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.78,
"opponent_name": "Linea Bajraliu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.1,
"opponent_name": "Samira De Stefano"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:12.102226+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.09,
"ranking": 517,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 121,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -402,
"rank_ratio": 0.196,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6296406197516198,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -779,
"best_rank_diff": -413,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.666666666666657,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.383148642214856,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 15.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 23.357142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.91322392001509,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"combined_confidence": 0.3533333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6413333333333355,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.349999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.609999999999999,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.240000000000002,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.059999999999995,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0166666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": 23.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.20000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.78605242811749,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.114697808814692,
"surface_rank_synergy": 51.60528629213461,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05200000000000002,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43533333333333346,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8499999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.3635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -7.381676074685189,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}