Jakub Mensik vs Reilly Opelka
Eastbourne | Grass | Round of 16
25 Jun 2025, 15:55
25 Jun 2025, 15:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jakub … | Reilly … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jakub Mensik
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
4/7 = 57,1%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,7059 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3099 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1472,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,7619 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,9333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,8506 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,2600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,2400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3643 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,1740 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0061 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1685 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3065 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,7466 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -19,3369 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0603 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1793 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -29,5238 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8365 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9010 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5992
API ID
14023153
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Eastbourne
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player1": "Jakub Mensik",
"player2": "Reilly Opelka",
"tournament": "Eastbourne",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-25T11:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"p2": {
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"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
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"utr": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 16,
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"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.51,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.850571428571428,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.599999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.260000000000005,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.240000000000009,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.3600000000000065,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.3642857142857139,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_diff": -10.000000000000014,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.1740000000000066,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0060975609756098,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1685393258426966,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.306469474926162,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.746641951339258,
"surface_rank_synergy": -19.336934691616595,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06028571428571444,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17933333333333334,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -29.523809523809547,
"utr_diff": 0.2900000000000009,
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"utr_advantage": 1.9010160603081017,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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"utr_diff": "0.0839",
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"utr_p2": "0.0114",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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