Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova
Bad Homburg | Grass | Round of 16
24 Jun 2025, 16:20
24 Jun 2025, 16:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Katerina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Grass
4/6 = 66,7%
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
7/11 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 39,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 7,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,0149 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4238,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,2121 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,0468 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 67,8788 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,3739 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,8500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,8800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7955 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -64,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6769 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6423 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,1864 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2143 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,4423 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1277 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2178 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2,4242 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5247 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,3007 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
5998
API ID
14023664
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bad Homburg
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 5998,
"api_id": 14023664,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Katerina Siniakova",
"tournament": "Bad Homburg",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-24T12:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
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"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 45,
"utr_singles": 12.46,
"utr_ranking": 26,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 26,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 2.0149030205422647,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 4238,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.2121212121212182,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
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"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.373909090909095,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.1099999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7600000000000051,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.850000000000009,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.8799999999999955,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.795454545454545,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -64.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.199999999999996,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.676923076923077,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6422764227642277,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.186378006876549,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.214276920876543,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.4423066915663934,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1276666666666666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21778787878787864,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.4242424242424363,
"utr_diff": 0.28999999999999915,
"utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5247058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 2.3006743355811117,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}