Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova
Bad Homburg | Grass | Round of 16
24 Jun 2025, 16:20
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Katerina … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Grass 4/6 = 66,7%
Katerina Siniakova
Ranking #45
UTR Rating 12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #26
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Grass 7/11 = 63,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 39,0000
rank_ratio 7,5000
log_rank_ratio 2,0149
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 4238,0000
best_rank_diff 24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,2121
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,0468
surface_matches_ratio 0,7500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 67,8788
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,1579
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,5833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,3739
first_serve_won_diff 3,1100
second_serve_won_diff 0,7600
bp_saved_diff 12,8500
bp_converted_diff -0,8800
aces_per_match_diff 1,7955
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -64,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,2000
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6769
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6423
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5455
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 10,1864
serve_consistency_p2 9,2143
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,4423
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1277
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2178
elite_surface_amplifier -2,4242
UTR
utr_diff 0,2900
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,5247
utr_advantage 2,3007
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 5998
API ID 14023664
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Bad Homburg
Superficie Grass
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 5998,
    "api_id": 14023664,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Katerina Siniakova",
    "tournament": "Bad Homburg",
    "surface": "grass",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-06-24T12:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 45,
      "utr_singles": 12.46,
      "utr_ranking": 26,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.75,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.46,
      "ranking": 26,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 39,
    "rank_ratio": 7.5,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.0149030205422647,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 4238,
    "best_rank_diff": 24,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.2121212121212182,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.0467836257309897,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.75,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 67.87878787878788,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.373909090909095,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.1099999999999994,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.7600000000000051,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.850000000000009,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.8799999999999955,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.795454545454545,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": -64.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.199999999999996,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.676923076923077,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6422764227642277,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.186378006876549,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.214276920876543,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.4423066915663934,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1276666666666666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21778787878787864,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -2.4242424242424363,
    "utr_diff": 0.28999999999999915,
    "utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5247058823529412,
    "utr_advantage": 2.3006743355811117,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}