Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Maria Sakkari
Bad Homburg | Grass | Round of 16
25 Jun 2025, 13:30
25 Jun 2025, 13:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
8/11 = 72,7%
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#53
UTR Rating
12,17 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Grass
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5724 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2242,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 27,6591 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,7355 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,6591 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3684 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5467 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,7386 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,0400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,5500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,4818 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 29,9510 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9891 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7757 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8592 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3354 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43,4911 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1546 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0380 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 55,3182 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4906 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5765 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6001
API ID
14023668
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bad Homburg
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6001,
"api_id": 14023668,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Maria Sakkari",
"tournament": "Bad Homburg",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-25T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 53,
"utr_singles": 12.17,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.74,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.17,
"ranking": 60,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 42,
"rank_ratio": 4.818181818181818,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5723966407537513,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2242,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": 27.659090909090907,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.735507246376812,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5833333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.6590909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.21739130434783,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"combined_confidence": 0.5466666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.738636363636353,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.339999999999989,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.3499999999999943,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.039999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.549999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.4818181818181824,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 29.950999999999993,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9891304347826086,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7757009345794392,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.8591702180352545,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.335441560412729,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.49106163175716,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.154590909090909,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03799999999999998,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 55.31818181818181,
"utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.5576470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.49058823529411766,
"utr_advantage": 4.576475311120035,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}