Kimberly Birrell vs Sara Saito
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
07 Ene 2025, 05:55
07 Ene 2025, 05:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kimberly … | Sara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kimberly Birrell
Ranking
#76
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Sara Saito
Ranking
#262
UTR Rating
11,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#335
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 186,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,4474 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2376 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 623,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 90,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,2763 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,2164 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,1854 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,9091 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,9296 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 67,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1045 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,1660 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,8713 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6770 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7683 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,2017 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1136 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 59,1837 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 1,1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,0612 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4026 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6316 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9178 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,5205 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,9061 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1241 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0951 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 30,5526 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3918 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
604
API ID
13300812
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 604,
"api_id": 13300812,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kimberly Birrell",
"player2": "Sara Saito",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-01-07T01:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 262,
"utr_singles": 11.33,
"utr_ranking": 335,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.33,
"ranking": 335,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.4473684210526314,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2376111634747657,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 623,
"best_rank_diff": 90,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.276292335115869,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.216389244558258,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.7222222222222223,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.185383244206776,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.90909090909091,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.929577464788736,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"p1_surface_matches": 67,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1044776119402985,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.16603475935829,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.8713368983957253,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.676978609625671,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7682531194295876,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.20171122994653246,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.1136363636363642,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 1.183673469387763,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.061224489795933,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4025974025974026,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.631578947368421,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.917830559171348,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.520478977094724,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.906109930443396,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12414616755793217,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.095090909090909,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 30.552584670231738,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.39176470588235296,
"utr_p2": 0.39176470588235296,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}