Alex Michelsen vs Brandon Holt
Mallorca | Grass | Round of 16
25 Jun 2025, 16:30
25 Jun 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Grass
5/9 = 55,6%
Brandon Holt
Ranking
#109
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#220
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Grass
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 71,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8684 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0538 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 797,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 69,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,1856 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,4945 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,0427 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49,4180 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,8512 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,5700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 15,4700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,8100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,1200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7874 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,6790 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0106 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4828 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,3620 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,3022 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,8407 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0206 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0004 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24,3712 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,1560 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
6081
API ID
14023194
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Mallorca
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6081,
"api_id": 14023194,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Brandon Holt",
"tournament": "Mallorca",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-06-25T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.12,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 109,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 220,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.36,
"ranking": 220,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.8684210526315788,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0537617225027578,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 797,
"best_rank_diff": 69,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.185592185592185,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.494529341926728,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.142857142857143,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.04273504273504,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.41799525101764,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.851152625152622,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.569999999999993,
"second_serve_won_diff": 15.469999999999985,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.809999999999988,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.1200000000000045,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7874236874236873,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -37.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.679000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0106382978723405,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4827586206896552,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.3620447449965245,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.302228361085936,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.840710611205767,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.020572649572649593,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0004285714285715003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.37118437118437,
"utr_diff": 0.7599999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.8376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
"utr_advantage": 5.156037991858887,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}