Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek
Bad Homburg | Grass | Quarterfinals
26 Jun 2025, 11:20
26 Jun 2025, 11:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
13/19 = 68.4%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Grass
12/14 = 85.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.6094 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -5020.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13.9773 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.0338 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3571 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69.6591 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 83.6364 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 77.7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3684 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.8575 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.4500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6.2400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11.4700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.5600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.2273 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9891 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1179 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.1140 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.9005 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 22.4956 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3284 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5776 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.8557 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
6090
API ID
14023671
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Bad Homburg
Superficie
Grass
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 6090,
"api_id": 14023671,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "Bad Homburg",
"surface": "grass",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-06-26T11:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.8,
"utr_ranking": 6,
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"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.91,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 85.71428571428571,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -5020,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
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"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.033816425120777,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3571428571428572,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 83.63636363636363,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.21739130434783,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 77.77777777777779,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3684210526315789,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.56,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.8575454545454448,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.450000000000003,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.240000000000009,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.469999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5600000000000023,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.2272727272727275,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.499999999999986,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9891304347826086,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.117948717948718,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.114019019433301,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.900461476615996,
"surface_rank_synergy": 22.495552639703888,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20459090909090905,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3283636363636363,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.10999999999999943,
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5776470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -0.8556981719175374,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}